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In ways that nobody could have imagined, 2020 has been a highly turbulent year and certainly one for the history books. The longest economic expansion in U.S. history ended early in the year and what followed was probably the shortest recession ever! After a short but...read more
The S&P Composite has rallied close to 60% since late March, making a historic and remarkable round trip in a short period of time. You would think that after such a move it would make sense to anticipate a significant retracement. From an intermediate term...read more
Despite troubling headlines of ongoing virus concerns and terrible unemployment numbers, the stock market pivoted direction in late March and embarked on its best quarterly performance since 1998. In our view, the biggest factor in reversing the first quarters’ deep...read more
Where Have We Been? Back in February the stock market registered new highs. At the same time, several of the leading indicators we follow were tentatively signaling the emergence of the economy from its third growth slowdown since the financial crisis. Along came the...read more
We continue to monitor the economic situation and where appropriate are making adjustments to your investments. This video update (click here to watch) is designed to keep you informed on the decision making process we are utilizing to navigate your portfolio through...read more
Chart 1 below compares the S&P to our Master Economic Indicator (MEI). It combines the momentum of six leading economic indicators and comes into its own when economic activity causes it to drop below the -40% level and then moves back above it. Such action earns...read more