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A Slowdown is in the Bag, but What About a Recession?
There is little doubt that the US economy is in a state of slowdown. That’s actually a good thing, because it offers some time to pause and refresh, thereby postponing either a recession, overheating or both. These pauses perform the same function as a pit stop in a...
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Continued Volatility
In light of the dramatic stock market sell off we wanted to bring you up to date on our thinking. In our most recent update we reported many short-term technical market indicators had reached oversold levels and the stage was set for a stock market rebound. However,...
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The Economy is Strong, But…
The stock market caught a second wind during the summer months. After a wild roller coaster ride in the first half of the year, stock indexes finally cleared their late January highs in the last week of the quarter. Your portfolio1 finished strong and is approaching...
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Using Dr. Copper to Check the Pulse of the Global Economy
Holy cow! This economy is on fire; witness the second quarter U.S. GDP growth rate of 4.1%. Is it sustainable or a just a temporary spurt? It’s often said that the Copper price has a PHD in economics, because of its widespread use in many diverse industries. That use...
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Strong Quarter, Staying Positive
Photo by Jungwoo Hong on Unsplash The stock market and your portfolio1 grew nicely this quarter, despite fears of possible trade wars, higher interest rates and interim bouts of volatility. A rather noisy ongoing trade dispute with China, the European Union, and even...
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Whatever Happened to the Business Cycle?
July 2018 will mark the 108th month of the economic recovery, making it the second longest expansion in history. Another 12-months or so and it will be the longest ever. Moreover, the consensus of economists foresees little trouble ahead. As of May 2018, Goldman...
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