In the fall of 1981, the twenty-year US bond yield peaked slightly above 15% and has been zig zagging down through each successive business cycle since. During the last one...
New Highs for the Pring Turner Leading Indicator Suggests Low Risk of Recession Today Most severe stock market declines (-20% or more) have occurred during economic recessions....
A major anxiety amongst stock market participants revolves around two key factors that appear to be on a collision course. The first is an overvalued stock market. The second, is...
The purpose of this article is to make the case for a primary trend rise in yields. If this assumption turns out to be correct, it is within the realm of possibilities that this...
At the beginning of 2000, I unsuccessfully submitted a bearish stock market article, A Turn of the Tide, to a well-known US financial publisher. At the time, in the middle of a...
For years I have always thought of the gold price as a discounting mechanism for inflation. In recent months though, the price has rallied sharply under what appears to be a...