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STEADY AND STRONG STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE
After a volatile first half of the year, market gains accelerated in the third quarter. Encouragingly, the recent advance unfolded with a welcome steadiness and a more stable...
Best Year This Century!
Happy New Decade! We are pleased to report you finished the year with a very strong performance. Congratulations! What's Next in 2020? We caution against extrapolating last...
Our Business Cycle Work is Close to signaling a Stage III. Guess Which Market That’s Bullish for?
A large part of the Pring Turner investment approach is derived from the fact that the business cycle is nothing more or less than a repetitive chronological sequence of events....
Recession Watch Update: Four Leading Economic Indicators Signal a Stronger Economy Ahead
Even though we have already experienced the longest expansion on record, the latest data suggest the possibility of a resurging level of business activity as the economy emerges...
Adding to Gains
Economic growth is chugging right along on a slow but steady path higher, supporting the positive investment backdrop. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve implemented a “midcycle...
Our LEI Hits a New High
The Pring Turner Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) comprises a weighted ROC for three key economic sectors and a financial one. These are construction, consumer spending,...
The Stock Market Beach Ball
If you have ever gone to the beach or played in a pool and pushed a beach ball under water, you can appreciate how we associate current stock market conditions with that beach...
Is the Bond Pendulum Set to Swing Yields Higher?
The chart of the month (below) compares the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to its 12-month ROC. This oscillator is like a pendulum of a clock as it is continually swinging between...
Climbing the “Wall of Worry”
Stock and bond prices added to strong first quarter gains! The gains were briefly interrupted in May when stock prices corrected due, in part, to several troublesome headlines. ...
Pring Turner Partners with the Association of Financial Educators
For Immediate Release Pring Turner, a financial advisory firm headquartered in Walnut Creek, CA, is proud to announce a new partnership with the Association of Financial...
Meeting Warren Buffett …’s Barber
My reflections from the 2019 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting You would think that helping our client families with their financial plans and investment management would be...
Recovery or Recession? Ask the Stock Market Stupid!
Even though there has been no recession for 10 years, students of the business cycle know that it is still alive and well. Instead of a full-blown contraction in business...
Latest Housing Data Offers Some Green Shoots
The Wells Fargo Housing Sentiment normally peaks well before recessions. It typically coincides or leads housing starts and is poised to break out to new high territory. A KST...